Thomas ParteyProfileMidfield duel leader
Partey gives Ghana ball-winning range, vertical passing, and the composure to turn defensive recoveries into controlled attacks.
World Cup win probability calculator
Real FIFA World Cup 2026 groups with source-backed Elo ratings.
48 teams12 groupsLocal Elo scenario modelNot official odds
Selected team snapshotGhanaGHA
Rank#40baseline #40
Elo1575#41
Champion0.6%baseline 0.6%
Leader gap4.8%
Final2.3%baseline 2.3%
Group advance37.3%baseline 37.3%
Model factorsSelected-team base scores vs current scenario
Attack+3.8
Base 74Scenario 77.8
Defense+1.5
Base 74Scenario 75.5
Form0
Base 74Scenario 74
Player introductionsConnected squad notes for the selected team
Key players
Antoine SemenyoProfileDirect final-third runner
Semenyo stretches back lines with pace and power, giving Ghana an outlet for counters and early balls into the channels.
Jordan AyewProfileCaptain and attacking connector
Ayew links Ghana's forwards with hold-up play, set-piece delivery, and late-game experience in tight tournament moments.
Iñaki WilliamsProfileDepth and pressing forward
Williams gives Ghana repeated sprints behind defenders, pressing bite, and a route to attack before opponents settle.
Abdul Fatawu IssahakuProfileLeft-footed chance creator
Fatawu adds left-footed delivery, carrying threat, and the ability to attack either the byline or the inside shooting lane.
Lawrence Ati-ZigiProfileShot-stopping base
Ati-Zigi gives Ghana experience in goal, penalty-box reactions, and the first-pass option needed after defensive pressure.
Full squad26
Goalkeepers
Benjamin AsareHearts of OakLawrence Ati-ZigiSt. GallenJoseph AnangSt Patrick's Athletic
Defenders
Baba Abdul RahmanPAOKGideon MensahAuxerreMarvin SenayaAuxerreAlidu SeiduRennesAbdul MuminRayo VallecanoJerome OpokuIstanbul BasaksehirJonas AdjeteyWolfsburgKojo Oppong PeprahNiceDerrick LuckassenPafos
Midfielders
Elisha OwusuAuxerreThomas ParteyVillarrealKwasi SiboReal OviedoAugustine BoakyeSaint-EtienneCaleb YirenkyiNordsjaellandAbdul Fatawu IssahakuLeicester CityKamaldeen SulemanaAtalanta
Forwards
Christopher Bonsu BaahAl QadsiahErnest NuamahLyonAntoine SemenyoManchester CityBrandon Thomas-AsanteCoventry CityPrince Kwabena AduViktoria PlzenIñaki WilliamsAthletic BilbaoJordan AyewLeicester City
Probability leadersTop teams for the selected stage, with current team kept in view
Champion chanceField distributionAll teams grouped by champion probability
Probability shareFavorites2 teams10.6%
Contenders12 teams43.2%
Sleepers22 teams40.2%
Long shots12 teams6%Selected team
| # | Team | Elo | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2046#4 | 4% | 12.6% | 20.9% | 34.6% | 57.1% | 94.2% | |
| 14 | 1882#16 | 3% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 29% | 50% | 86.4% | |
| 36 | 1658#35 | 1% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 12.9% | 25% | 49% | |
| 40 | 1575#41 | 0.6% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 18.3% | 37.3% |
Group stage matrix
Group A
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Mexico43%31%19%91%
Korea Republic24%28%28%70%
Czechia21%26%30%64%
South Africa12%16%23%35%
Group B
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Switzerland49%31%15%95%
Canada25%32%29%76%
Bosnia and Herzegovina17%24%34%57%
Qatar8%12%21%25%
Group C
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Brazil46%32%17%95%
Morocco28%32%27%83%
Scotland17%23%33%60%
Haiti9%13%22%30%
Group D
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Turkiye30%27%24%78%
Paraguay26%26%25%71%
USA24%24%26%67%
Australia21%22%25%60%
Group E
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Germany39%33%22%91%
Ecuador34%33%24%88%
Cote d'Ivoire19%24%35%64%
Curacao8%11%19%24%
Group F
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Netherlands40%32%20%92%
Japan31%32%25%85%
Sweden19%23%32%62%
Tunisia10%13%22%31%
Group G
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Belgium39%31%21%88%
IR Iran29%30%27%78%
Egypt21%25%30%64%
New Zealand11%14%22%32%
Group H
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Spain56%30%11%97%
Uruguay23%35%28%81%
Cabo Verde11%18%31%44%
Saudi Arabia10%17%29%40%
Group I
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
France47%32%17%96%
Norway28%33%28%86%
Senegal18%24%36%67%
Iraq7%11%20%25%
Group J
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Argentina57%29%11%98%
Austria19%31%31%74%
Algeria15%25%33%61%
Jordan9%15%25%34%
Group K
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Portugal38%33%21%92%
Colombia36%33%22%91%
Congo DR15%20%32%54%
Uzbekistan11%15%25%36%
Group L
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
England44%32%18%94%
Croatia31%33%24%86%
Panama14%19%31%49%
Ghana11%15%26%37%
Model transparency
ProbabilityGrid uses the real 48-team FIFA World Cup 2026 group field and source-backed Elo ratings. Sliders adjust only the selected team for scenario testing; the app is still an exploratory model, not official FIFA odds or bookmaker pricing.