Mohamed SalahProfileCaptain and right-sided finisher
Salah remains Egypt's captain and decisive right-sided scorer, bending transition attacks toward his left-footed finish.
World Cup win probability calculator
Real FIFA World Cup 2026 groups with source-backed Elo ratings.
48 teams12 groupsLocal Elo scenario modelNot official odds
Selected team snapshotEgyptEGY
Rank#26baseline #26
Elo1742#29
Champion1.7%baseline 1.7%
Leader gap3.7%
Final6%baseline 6%
Group advance70.4%baseline 70.4%
Model factorsSelected-team base scores vs current scenario
Attack+3.8
Base 80Scenario 83.8
Defense+1.5
Base 80Scenario 81.5
Form0
Base 80Scenario 80
Player introductionsConnected squad notes for the selected team
Key players
Omar MarmoushProfileExplosive central forward
Marmoush gives Egypt vertical speed, pressing energy, and a second elite scoring route when defenses overload Salah.
Mohamed El ShenawyProfileVeteran goalkeeper captain
El Shenawy organizes Egypt from goal with penalty-area command, tournament experience, and calm distribution under pressure.
TrezeguetProfileWide runner and secondary scorer
Trezeguet keeps Egypt direct from wide zones, attacking back-post spaces and giving Salah another experienced runner.
Mohamed AbdelmonemProfileFirst-choice centre-back
Abdelmonem anchors Egypt's back line with aerial strength, front-foot defending, and the passing range to start attacks.
Emam AshourProfileLate-arriving midfield threat
Ashour adds late box arrivals, counter-pressing bite, and a goal threat that helps Egypt avoid becoming a two-forward team.
Full squad26
Goalkeepers
Oufa ShobeirAl Ahly FCMohamed AlaaEl Gouna FCMohamed El ShenawyAl Ahly FCEl Mahdi SolimanZamalek SC
Defenders
Mohamed AbdelmonemOGC NiceHossam AbdelmaguidZamalek SCRamy RabiaAl-Ain FCYasser IbrahimAl Ahly FCAhmed FatouhZamalek SCKarim HafezPyramids FCMohamed HanyAl Ahly FCTarek AlaaPyramids FC
Midfielders
Marwan AteyaAl Ahly FCMohanad LasheenPyramids FCHamdy FathyAl-Wakrah SCNabil DungaAl-Najma SCEmam AshourAl Ahly FCMahmoud SaberPyramids FC
Forwards
TrezeguetAl Ahly FCIbrahim AdelFC NordsjaellandMostafa ZikoPyramids FCMohamed SalahWithout ClubHaissem HassanReal OviedoZizoAl Ahly FCOmar MarmoushManchester CityHamza AbdelkarimFC Barcelona Atletic
Probability leadersTop teams for the selected stage, with current team kept in view
Champion chanceField distributionAll teams grouped by champion probability
Probability shareFavorites2 teams10.6%
Contenders12 teams43.2%
Sleepers22 teams40.3%Selected team
Long shots12 teams5.9%
| # | Team | Elo | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 1910#12 | 2.9% | 9.5% | 16.5% | 28.7% | 50% | 87.3% | |
| 21 | 1764#25 | 2.1% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 23.2% | 42.1% | 76.8% | |
| 26 | 1742#29 | 1.7% | 6% | 11% | 20.4% | 37.7% | 70.4% | |
| 45 | 1534#45 | 0.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 14.2% | 30.3% |
Group stage matrix
Group A
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Mexico43%31%19%91%
Korea Republic24%28%28%70%
Czechia21%26%30%64%
South Africa12%16%23%35%
Group B
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Switzerland49%31%15%95%
Canada25%32%29%76%
Bosnia and Herzegovina17%24%34%57%
Qatar8%12%21%25%
Group C
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Brazil46%32%17%95%
Morocco28%32%27%83%
Scotland17%23%33%60%
Haiti9%13%22%30%
Group D
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Turkiye30%27%24%78%
Paraguay26%26%25%71%
USA24%24%26%67%
Australia21%22%25%60%
Group E
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Germany39%33%22%91%
Ecuador34%33%24%88%
Cote d'Ivoire19%24%35%64%
Curacao8%11%19%24%
Group F
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Netherlands40%32%20%92%
Japan31%32%25%85%
Sweden19%23%32%62%
Tunisia10%13%22%31%
Group G
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Belgium37%31%22%87%
IR Iran28%29%28%77%
Egypt24%27%30%70%
New Zealand10%14%21%30%
Group H
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Spain56%30%11%97%
Uruguay23%35%28%81%
Cabo Verde11%18%31%44%
Saudi Arabia10%17%29%40%
Group I
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
France47%32%17%96%
Norway28%33%28%86%
Senegal18%24%36%67%
Iraq7%11%20%25%
Group J
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Argentina57%29%11%98%
Austria19%31%31%74%
Algeria15%25%33%61%
Jordan9%15%25%34%
Group K
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Portugal38%33%21%92%
Colombia36%33%22%91%
Congo DR15%20%32%54%
Uzbekistan11%15%25%36%
Group L
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
England45%33%17%95%
Croatia32%34%24%88%
Panama14%20%34%51%
Ghana9%13%25%32%
Model transparency
ProbabilityGrid uses the real 48-team FIFA World Cup 2026 group field and source-backed Elo ratings. Sliders adjust only the selected team for scenario testing; the app is still an exploratory model, not official FIFA odds or bookmaker pricing.