Gustavo GómezProfileCaptain and defensive reference
Gómez gives Paraguay its centre-back organiser, pairing aerial authority with the penalty-box defending needed for a compact tournament block.
World Cup win probability calculator
Real FIFA World Cup 2026 groups with source-backed Elo ratings.
48 teams12 groupsLocal Elo scenario modelNot official odds
Selected team snapshotParaguayPAR
Rank#19baseline #19
Elo1823#20
Champion2.5%baseline 2.5%
Leader gap2.9%
Final8.3%baseline 8.3%
Group advance77.5%baseline 77.5%
Model factorsSelected-team base scores vs current scenario
Attack+3.8
Base 83Scenario 86.8
Defense+1.5
Base 83Scenario 84.5
Form0
Base 83Scenario 83
Player introductionsConnected squad notes for the selected team
Key players
Miguel AlmirónProfileTransition runner
Almirón stretches matches from the right side, turning recoveries into direct carries and giving Paraguay an outlet against high lines.
Julio EncisoProfileFinal-third creator
Enciso brings Paraguay its most explosive final-third spark, with close control, early shooting, and the confidence to attack broken play.
Diego GómezProfileBox-to-box connector
Gómez connects Paraguay's midfield phases, covering ground, carrying through pressure, and arriving late when counters open.
Omar AldereteProfileLeft-footed back-line stabilizer
Alderete balances the back line with left-footed distribution, duel strength, and the range to defend wide channels.
Orlando GillProfilePenalty-area shot stopper
Gill gives Paraguay a tall penalty-area presence, useful for set-piece traffic and games where the defence absorbs long pressure spells.
Full squad26
Goalkeepers
Orlando GillCA San Lorenzo de AlmagroGastón OlveiraClub OlimpiaRoberto FernándezClub Cerro Porteño
Defenders
Omar AldereteSunderland AFCGustavo GómezSociedade Esportiva PalmeirasJosé CanaleCA LanúsJúnior AlonsoClube Atlético MineiroFabián BalbuenaGrêmio Foot-Ball Porto AlegrenseGustavo VelázquezClub Cerro PorteñoAlexandro MaidanaCA TalleresJuan José CáceresDynamo Moscow
Midfielders
Andrés CubasVancouver Whitecaps FCBraian OjedaOrlando City SCDiego GómezBrighton & Hove AlbionDamián BobadillaSão Paulo Futebol ClubeMatías GalarzaCA River PlateJulio EncisoRC Strasbourg AlsaceMauricioSociedade Esportiva PalmeirasKakuAl-Ain FC
Forwards
Gustavo CaballeroSantos FCMiguel AlmirónAtlanta United FCRamón SosaSociedade Esportiva PalmeirasIsidro PittaRed Bull BragantinoÁlex ArceCS Independiente RivadaviaAntonio SanabriaUS CremoneseGabriel ÁvalosCA Independiente
Probability leadersTop teams for the selected stage, with current team kept in view
Champion chanceField distributionAll teams grouped by champion probability
Probability shareFavorites2 teams10.6%
Contenders12 teams43.2%
Sleepers22 teams40.3%Selected team
Long shots12 teams5.9%
| # | Team | Elo | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 1823#20 | 2.5% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 25.4% | 44.3% | 77.5% | |
| 20 | 1852#18 | 2.5% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 24.9% | 43.6% | 76.5% | |
| 25 | 1798#24 | 1.8% | 6% | 10.9% | 19.7% | 35.7% | 65.1% | |
| 30 | 1800#23 | 1.4% | 5% | 9.2% | 17% | 31.4% | 58.3% |
Group stage matrix
Group A
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Mexico43%31%19%91%
Korea Republic24%28%28%70%
Czechia21%26%30%64%
South Africa12%16%23%35%
Group B
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Switzerland49%31%15%95%
Canada25%32%29%76%
Bosnia and Herzegovina17%24%34%57%
Qatar8%12%21%25%
Group C
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Brazil46%32%17%95%
Morocco28%32%27%83%
Scotland17%23%33%60%
Haiti9%13%22%30%
Group D
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Paraguay29%27%24%77%
Turkiye29%27%25%76%
USA22%24%26%65%
Australia20%22%25%58%
Group E
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Germany39%33%22%91%
Ecuador34%33%24%88%
Cote d'Ivoire19%24%35%64%
Curacao8%11%19%24%
Group F
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Netherlands40%32%20%92%
Japan31%32%25%85%
Sweden19%23%32%62%
Tunisia10%13%22%31%
Group G
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Belgium39%31%21%88%
IR Iran29%30%27%78%
Egypt21%25%30%64%
New Zealand11%14%22%32%
Group H
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Spain56%30%11%97%
Uruguay23%35%28%81%
Cabo Verde11%18%31%44%
Saudi Arabia10%17%29%40%
Group I
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
France47%32%17%96%
Norway28%33%28%86%
Senegal18%24%36%67%
Iraq7%11%20%25%
Group J
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Argentina57%29%11%98%
Austria19%31%31%74%
Algeria15%25%33%61%
Jordan9%15%25%34%
Group K
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Portugal38%33%21%92%
Colombia36%33%22%91%
Congo DR15%20%32%54%
Uzbekistan11%15%25%36%
Group L
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
England45%33%17%95%
Croatia32%34%24%88%
Panama14%20%34%51%
Ghana9%13%25%32%
Model transparency
ProbabilityGrid uses the real 48-team FIFA World Cup 2026 group field and source-backed Elo ratings. Sliders adjust only the selected team for scenario testing; the app is still an exploratory model, not official FIFA odds or bookmaker pricing.