Achraf HakimiProfileCaptain and elite right-sided outlet
Hakimi drives Morocco's right side with recovery speed, overlap timing, and final-third delivery that can turn defense into attack quickly.
World Cup win probability calculator
Real FIFA World Cup 2026 groups with source-backed Elo ratings.
48 teams12 groupsLocal Elo scenario modelNot official odds
Selected team snapshotMoroccoMAR
Rank#11baseline #11
Elo1886#15
Champion3.2%baseline 3.2%
Leader gap2.2%
Final10.3%baseline 10.3%
Group advance88.1%baseline 88.1%
Model factorsSelected-team base scores vs current scenario
Attack+3.8
Base 85Scenario 88.8
Defense+1.5
Base 85Scenario 86.5
Form0
Base 85Scenario 85
Player introductionsConnected squad notes for the selected team
Key players
Yassine BounouProfileTournament-proven goalkeeper
Bounou gives Morocco penalty-box command, shot-stopping authority, and the calm distribution needed for a compact team to breathe.
Sofyan AmrabatProfileMidfield ball-winning anchor
Amrabat protects the centre, contests second balls, and keeps Morocco's midfield compact when the wide players jump forward.
Brahim DíazProfileInside-forward creator
Brahim adds close control, half-space carries, and the disguise to create shots when Morocco faces a settled defensive block.
Ayyoub BouaddiProfileHigh-upside midfield progression
Bouaddi brings press resistance and forward passing, giving Morocco a younger midfield profile that can carry attacks through pressure.
Bilal El KhannoussProfileBetween-lines playmaker
El Khannouss links midfield and attack with receiving angles, quick combinations, and enough final-pass quality to unlock narrow games.
Full squad26
Goalkeepers
Yassine BounouAl-Hilal SFCAhmed Reda TagnaoutiAS FAR RabatMunir El KajouiRenaissance de Berkane
Defenders
Chadi RiadCrystal PalaceIssa DiopFulham FCRedouane HalhalKV MechelenMarwane SaadaneWithout ClubAnass Salah-EddineAS RomaYoussef BelammariAl Ahly FCAchraf HakimiParis Saint-GermainNoussair MazraouiManchester UnitedZakaria El OuahdiKRC Genk
Midfielders
Sofyan AmrabatFenerbahceAyyoub BouaddiLOSC LilleNeil El AynaouiAS RomaSamir El MourabetRC Strasbourg AlsaceAzzedine OunahiGirona FCIsmael SaibariBayern MunichBilal El KhannoussVfB Stuttgart
Forwards
Amine SbaïAngers SCOBrahim DíazReal MadridChemsdine TalbiSunderland AFCGessime YassineRC Strasbourg AlsaceAyoube Amaimouni-EchghouyabEintracht FrankfurtSoufiane RahimiAl-Ain FCAyoub El KaabiOlympiacos Piraeus
Probability leadersTop teams for the selected stage, with current team kept in view
Champion chanceField distributionAll teams grouped by champion probability
Probability shareFavorites2 teams10.6%
Contenders13 teams46.3%Selected team
Sleepers21 teams37.2%
Long shots12 teams5.9%
| # | Team | Elo | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2031#5 | 4.1% | 12.8% | 21.1% | 34.8% | 57.4% | 94.4% | |
| 11 | 1886#15 | 3.2% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 30.1% | 51.5% | 88.1% | |
| 33 | 1745#28 | 1.3% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 16.4% | 30.8% | 58.6% | |
| 45 | 1517#46 | 0.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 13.6% | 28.7% |
Group stage matrix
Group A
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Mexico43%31%19%91%
Korea Republic24%28%28%70%
Czechia21%26%30%64%
South Africa12%16%23%35%
Group B
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Switzerland49%31%15%95%
Canada25%32%29%76%
Bosnia and Herzegovina17%24%34%57%
Qatar8%12%21%25%
Group C
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Brazil43%33%18%94%
Morocco32%33%25%88%
Scotland16%21%35%59%
Haiti9%12%22%29%
Group D
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Turkiye30%27%24%78%
Paraguay26%26%25%71%
USA24%24%26%67%
Australia21%22%25%60%
Group E
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Germany39%33%22%91%
Ecuador34%33%24%88%
Cote d'Ivoire19%24%35%64%
Curacao8%11%19%24%
Group F
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Netherlands40%32%20%92%
Japan31%32%25%85%
Sweden19%23%32%62%
Tunisia10%13%22%31%
Group G
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Belgium39%31%21%88%
IR Iran29%30%27%78%
Egypt21%25%30%64%
New Zealand11%14%22%32%
Group H
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Spain56%30%11%97%
Uruguay23%35%28%81%
Cabo Verde11%18%31%44%
Saudi Arabia10%17%29%40%
Group I
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
France47%32%17%96%
Norway28%33%28%86%
Senegal18%24%36%67%
Iraq7%11%20%25%
Group J
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Argentina57%29%11%98%
Austria19%31%31%74%
Algeria15%25%33%61%
Jordan9%15%25%34%
Group K
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
Portugal38%33%21%92%
Colombia36%33%22%91%
Congo DR15%20%32%54%
Uzbekistan11%15%25%36%
Group L
Team1st2nd3rdAdv.
England45%33%17%95%
Croatia32%34%24%88%
Panama14%20%34%51%
Ghana9%13%25%32%
Model transparency
ProbabilityGrid uses the real 48-team FIFA World Cup 2026 group field and source-backed Elo ratings. Sliders adjust only the selected team for scenario testing; the app is still an exploratory model, not official FIFA odds or bookmaker pricing.